Publications and References

Publications from the TITAN project


Cowan T., Hegerl G. C., Colfescu I., Bollasina M., Purich A. and Boschat G. (2017): Factors contributing to record-breaking heat waves over the Great Plains during the 1930s Dust Bowl. J Climate, in press.

Freychet N., Tett S.F.B., Wang J. and Hegerl G.C. (2017): Summer heat waves over Eastern China: Dynamical processes and trend attribution. Env. Res. Lett. In press.

Hawkins E., Ortega, Suckling, Schurer, Hegerl, Jones, Joshi, Masson-Delmotte, Mignot, Thorne, van Oldenborg (2017): Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period. Bull. Am. Met. Soc, in press, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0007.1

Polson D., Hegerl G.C. (2017): Strengthening contrast between precipitation in tropical wet and dry regions. Geophys. Res. Lett. 44, 365-373, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071194.

Brunner L., Hegerl G.C. and Steiner A. (2017): Connecting Atmospheric blocking to European temperature extremes in spring. J Climate, 30, 585-594, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0518.1.


Polson D., Hegerl G.C. and Solomon S. (2016): Precipitation sensitivity to warming estimated from long island records. Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 074024 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/074024.

Lehner, F., Schurer A. P., Hegerl G. C., Deser C., Froehlicher T. L. (2016): Importance of ENSO phase during volcanic eruptions for detection and attribution. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (6), doi: 10.1002/2016GL067935.

Luterbacher J. et al. 2016 (Incl. Hegerl and Schurer): European summer temperatures since Roman times. Environ. Res. Lett. 11, 024001, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/2/024001.


PAGES2k-PMIP3 group. (incl. Hegerl) (2015): Continental-scale temperature variability in PMIP3 simulations and PAGES 2k regional temperature reconstructions over the past millennium. Clim. Past, 11, 1673–1699, doi: 10.5194/cp-11-1673-2015.

Iles C. and Hegerl G.C. (2015): Volcanic eruptions affect global streamflow. Nature Geoscience, doi: 10.1038/ngeo2545.

Hegerl G. (2015): Use of models and observations in event attribution. Perspective in Environ. Res. Lett. 10 (2015) 071001.

Hegerl GC, Black E., Allan R. P., Ingram W.J. Polson D., Trenberth K.E., Chadwick R.S., Arkin P.A. Balan Sarojini B., Becker A., Blyth E., Dai A,, Durack P., Easterling D., Fowler H., Kendon E., Huffman G.J., Liu C., Marsh R., New M., Osborn T.J., Skliris N., Stott P.A.,, Vidale P.L., Wijffels S.E., Wilcox L.J., Willett K., Zhang X. (2015): Quantifying changes in the global water cycle . Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 96, 1097-1115.

Schurer A. P., Hegerl G. C., Obrochta S. P. (2015): Determining the likelihood of 1 pauses and surges in global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett. 42, 5974-5982.

Krueger O., Tett S.F.B. and Hegerl G. (2015) Evaluation of mechanisms of hot and cold days in climate models over Central Europe , Environmental Research Letters, 10, 014002.


Iles C. and Hegerl G.C. (2014): The global precipitation response to volcanic eruptions in the CMIP5 models. Environmental Research Letters, 9, No. 104012.

Lennard C. and Hegerl G.C. (2014): Relating changes in synoptic circulation to the surface rainfall response using self-organising maps. Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2169-6.

Polson D., Bollasina M., Hegerl G. C. and Wilcox, L. (2014): Decreased monsoon precipitation in the 1 Northern Hemisphere due to anthropogenic aerosols. GRL, 41, 6023–6029, doi:10.1002/2014GL060811.

Hawkins E., Anderson B. Diffenbaugh N., Mahlstein I., Betts R. Hegerl G., Joshi M., Knutti R., McNeall D., Solomon S., Sutton R., Syktus J, Vecchi G (2014): Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates . Brief Communication Arising, Nature 511, 7505; E3-E5.

Hegerl G.C. and Stott P.A. (2014): From Past to Future Warming. Perspective in Science, 314, 844-845.

Hanlon H., Hegerl G. C., and Tett S.F.B (2014): Near-term prediction of impact relevant heatwave extremes. Climatic Change, doi: 10.1007/s10584-014-1191-3.

Schurer A., Tett S.F.B and G.C. Hegerl (2014): Small influence of solar variability on climate over the last millennium . Nature GeoScience 7, 104-108, DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2040.

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